Rethinking Marriage: Navigating Modern Relationships and Understanding Divorce Trends

Do you, like me, know couples that appeared to be rock solid, fully committed, and apparently life-long? And didn’t it come as a shock when you learned that they were splitting up? Did this leave you a little unsettled about your own relationship? Yet why are we surprised? According to the Bureau of Statistics, the divorce rate in Australia is around 40%. Adding a small percentage of marriage breakdowns that never formalize in divorce, it is estimated that around 44% of marriages end in separation within 30 years of the marriage. Of course, we are not just talking about traditional heterosexual marriage – during the past two decades, Australians started to marry less and divorce more.

From my observation, there is a big gap between this data and reality within our society. Divorce is still seen as a failure and a cause of shame, yet the data tells us it is almost in the majority. So how do we make sense of this gap? In the blogs to follow, I will suggest that our expectations about marriage (including long-term committed relationships) need to change. According to the data, gone are the days when two people could expect to marry for life. The model of “forever and ever till death do us part” no longer fits modern society. That model worked reasonably well up until a generation ago, although it did not necessarily produce happier couples. However, role models were clear, extended family support was strong, and divorce was a difficult option. All these factors (and of course many others) have now changed. Divorce is now a relatively easy option, family support due to mobility is now less certain, and busy couples mean that the marital bond is now under more tension. And yet I am not convinced that we have changed our thinking around the forever and ever model.
What are we telling our children about their choice of marital partner? Is it reasonable to expect that the partner that they choose when they are 25 will still be a compatible match when they are 50? Ideally, the couple will grow together and continue to enhance each other’s growth as individuals. However, our needs at 50 can be very different to our needs at 25.
And what about the role of churches in marriage? Interestingly, the rate of church weddings has decreased significantly in the past 10 years, with 63 percent of couples choosing a civil celebrant to officiate their wedding, compared to 20 years ago when 60 percent of marriages were conducted by a religious minister. The lifelong model has not changed within religious institutions, and I am not convinced that it has been replaced by a clearly thought-out model by civil celebrants.
And what about the data for second and subsequent marriages. We are really good at starting relationships (church weddings, smiling family, honeymoons) but we are terrible at ending them. And then to start a new one is clearly problematic. The data tells us that 60 percent of second marriages fail. And they do so even more quickly after an average of 10 years; 37 percent of second marriages have failed compared with 30 percent of first marriages. If we are developing a new model of marriage to fit modern society, then we certainly need a model that transitions in healthy ways between relationships. Extramarital affairs are a common way for marriages to end. Future blogs will address how we can heal from the affair.
Ah, but I hear you say, what about the children? Isn’t that a good reason to stay together? I suggest that no data suggests that divorce per se is harmful to children. The data suggests some obvious findings: children suffer in families of high conflict (whether divorce is an issue or not), children will certainly suffer during and after divorce where parental conflict is high, children will suffer where loss of contact with one or both supportive parents occurs, and where divorce produces financial difficulties. From my 25 years of experience working with families, the greatest effect of divorce on children is parents who have a high level of conflict with the other partner, and often where the children become pawns in the parental unhappiness. A new model of marriage is needed to help children in these situations.
Stay tuned for my upcoming blogs.
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